Property market sentiment remarkably steady regardless of financial uncertainty

Our newest Property Sentiment Index suggests sentiment amongst movers is proving to be resilient regardless of difficult financial elements. 

Confidence amongst consumers and sellers seems to be constant over the past couple of months with 74% of consumers within the UK assured they’d buy a property inside the subsequent three months in comparison with 73% in Might; and 64% of sellers assured they’d promote their property inside the subsequent three months, in comparison with 65% in Might.    

  • 74% of energetic consumers within the UK have been assured that they might buy a property inside the subsequent 3 months
  • 64% of sellers within the UK have been assured that they might promote their property inside the subsequent 3 months
  • 43% of properties have been Offered Topic to Contract (SSTC) inside 30 days of first being marketed on the market, in contrast with 60% in June 2022
  • Motivated consumers and sellers stick with it regardless 

Our Chief Government Officer, Jason Tebb, discusses the insights from our newest report: 

Sentiment amongst movers is proving to be remarkably resilient regardless of the difficult information in latest months on mortgage charges, inflation, and volatility in home value progress. The home-buying public seems reassuringly resolute with regards to their house strikes, regardless of appreciable challenges created by the persistently excessive price of dwelling and consecutive rate of interest rises. In fact, all of it depends upon how a lot persons are motivated to purchase or promote within the first occasion, with anecdotal proof suggesting that the extra indecisive are utilizing present market uncertainty as a purpose to take a seat on their arms and never make their transfer till the outlook is clearer. 

In the meantime, these severe about shifting are urgent on, eager to make selections and get offers finished. Our knowledge reveals that confidence ranges stay fairly fixed, up barely on final month (in June, 74% of UK consumers have been assured that they’d buy a property inside the subsequent three months in comparison with 73% in Might), or down barely (64% of UK sellers have been assured that they’d promote inside the subsequent three months in June in comparison with 65% in Might). Folks transfer for a wide range of causes, so whereas for some this might not be an opportune time to take action, others are carrying on regardless. It’s fairly spectacular that almost half of all properties (43%) have been Offered Topic to Contract inside 30 days of first being listed on the market in June, a slight enchancment on Might’s 42%. Admittedly, that is method off the place we have been this time final 12 months (60% in June 2022) however the housing market was very completely different then, one of many busiest since data started, with much less inventory out there and sellers within the driving seat. 

There are regional outliers, as there isn’t any such factor as a single housing market. Whereas some areas haven’t witnessed a lot change in vendor sentiment, in others there was a marked shift with sentiment declining in Wales (a 6 percentage-point drop from 66% in Might to 60% in June), the East Midlands (a 7 percentage-point drop from 65% in Might to 58% in June) and an 8 percentage-point fall within the East of England (from 64% in Might to 56% in June). Within the case of Wales and the East Midlands, the place common property costs are beneath the nationwide common and due to this fact extra more likely to entice first-time consumers, first-time sellers on modest budgets themselves could also be extra involved than most about increased borrowing prices and the impression these can have on their sale. 

Whereas there’s nonetheless a lot uncertainty, it’s unlikely that we’ll return to rock-bottom rates of interest within the close to future. The extremely leveraged might have to chop again on discretionary spending greater than these with substantial fairness of their properties, however whereas additional fee rises can’t be dominated out, the UK public appears to have developed a thick pores and skin over the previous 12 months. Regardless of all of the ups and downs, these committing to shifting are nonetheless doing so. 

You possibly can learn the complete report here