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UK home costs fell for the fifth consecutive month and on the quickest annual tempo since 2009 as larger mortgage charges hit potential consumers, in keeping with mortgage supplier Halifax.
Property costs fell 4.6 per cent in August in contrast with the identical month final 12 months, when costs reached a report excessive, and is the most important contraction since 2009, in keeping with knowledge launched on Thursday.
Costs declined 1.9 per cent between July and August, following consecutive month-to-month drops since April, Halifax stated.
The standard UK residence now prices £279,569, down by about £14,000 over the previous 12 months, however about £40,000 above pre-pandemic ranges.
Ranald Mitchell, director of Norwich-based unbiased mortgage dealer Charwin Non-public Purchasers, stated: “The consequences of the will increase in borrowing prices at the moment are very obvious, with property gross sales tougher to realize and sellers being tempted by decrease affords to allow them to transfer on.” He expects the remainder of the 12 months to “observe this sample till client confidence in mortgage pricing returns”.
The drop was bigger than the month-to-month fall of 0.3 per cent and an annual contraction of three.45 per cent forecast by economists polled by Reuters.
Kim Kinnaird, director at Halifax Mortgages, stated home costs “have confirmed extra resilient than anticipated up to now this 12 months, regardless of larger rates of interest weighing on purchaser demand”.
“Nonetheless, there may be all the time a lag impact the place price will increase are involved, and we could now be seeing a higher impression from larger mortgage prices flowing via to deal with costs,” she added.
Imogen Pattison, economists at Capital Economics, expects that mortgage charges will stay round present ranges of 5.5 per cent to six per cent for the subsequent 12 months, which suggests “demand will stay weak which we predict will trigger an extra 5.5 per cent drop in home costs”.
Mortgage charges have fluctuated at traditionally excessive ranges within the newest months reflecting altering medium-term expectations on how a lot the Financial institution of England will enhance rates of interest. The BoE price has elevated from a report low of 0.1 per cent in November 2021 to the present 5.25 per cent. Markets count on one other rate of interest enhance later this month.
Kinnaird thinks the fluctuations in charges may have prompted potential consumers to defer transactions within the hope of some stability, and higher readability on the longer term path of charges within the coming months.
All UK nations and the 9 English areas registered an annual decline in home costs in August, with northern places typically proving to be extra resilient than areas within the south, in keeping with Halifax.
The South East was the worst-performing area with property costs falling by an annual price of 5 per cent. The biggest common annual drop in value in money phrases was in London, down £22,800.
Wales, which recorded a few of the greatest positive factors in property costs through the pandemic-driven race for house, has seen property costs fall 4.7 per cent over the previous 12 months.
In distinction, in Scotland property costs fell simply 0.6 per cent over the previous 12 months, the slowest tempo of decline within the UK.
Earlier within the month, the mortgage supplier Nationwide reported UK home costs falling at an annual tempo of 5.3 per cent in August, the sharpest fall since 2009.
“The autumn in each the Halifax and Nationwide home value indices in August is unlikely to be the final,” stated Pattison.